This course will provide all essential knowledge and skills with effective appraisal and Project analysis. will provide also the latest tools and techniques to manage project risks and uncertainties to ensure profit margins and sustainability in uncertain times. It will be in more advanced level cover econometric impact evaluation theory and empirical methods for measuring the impact of development programs (including randomization, difference-in-differences, regression discontinuity, and propensity score matching). It will combine theory and practice. The primary objectives of the course are to provide participants with the skills to understand the value and practice of impact evaluation within development economics, design and implement impact evaluations and act as critical consumers of impact evaluations.
The Investment Criteria & The Investment Planning Process
Identifying Technical, Logistical & Environmental Risks
Economic risk analysis
Market risk analysis
Selecting project to meet organization objects
Estimating income, cash flows & duration
Identify risk from the project cash flows
Calculating the cost of finance –WACC, CAPM& Arbitrage pricing
Capital investment appraisal technique –payback, ARR, NPV IRR, etc.
Financial Appraisal using Spreadsheet Skills
Measuring Risk & Uncertainties
Project Constraints
Balancing Scope, Time, Quality & Cost
Evaluating the Risks & Uncertainties - Their Likelihood & Impact
Risk Response Planning & Reporting
The Risk Management Process at various levels of an organization and throughout the Project Life Cycle
The Project Manager's Roles and Responsibilities
Qualitative & Quantitative Risk Analysis
Financial Risk Management & Derivatives
Sensitivity Analysis & Monte Carlo Simulation Analysis
Decisions Trees to Manage Uncertainties and make Strategic Decisions
Programming Techniques - Gannt Charts, Network & Critical Path Analysis
Manpower Planning and Resource Smoothing & Levelling
Project Contingency Planning
Earned Value Analysis - Controlling Cost & Schedule Variances
The effect on decision-making of more intangible benefits
Cost benefit analysis
Ensuring costs are genuine
Measuring intangible benefits
Environmental issues
Consideration of intangible benefits in the appraisal decision-making process
Developing models - examples of spreadsheet models and measures for many different situations
Modelling investment opportunities - summarizing outcomes
Sensitivity analysis - identifying, quantifying and taking out risk
The process - managing risk from the outset
Using the process in risk management, negotiating and project management
Take out risk by thoroughly knowing your project - developing your own process
Introduction
Counterfactual
When to undertake impact evaluation
Establishing the program theory
Selecting the evaluation approach
Designing the baseline survey
Options when there is no baseline
Impact evaluation using secondary data
The role of qualitative information
Triangulation
Generalizations from specific impact evaluations
Terms of reference
Data sources
Time and cost
Undertake, Technical, Economic, Financial & Risk Analysis to select Projects to meet National and Organizational Objectives
Undertake Financial Analysis using Payback NPV & IRR
Identifying & Measuring Risk & Uncertainties
Evaluate and Manage Risks using the latest tools & techniques
Manage Uncertainties using Decisions Trees, Programming Techniques- Gantt Charts, Network & Critical Path Analysis, Manpower Planning, Contingency Planning & Earned
Identifying if project is working or not, impact evaluation will assist accountability function. This course is aligned with results based management and monitoring.
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